My Kind of Country

Country music from a fan's point of view since 2008

ACM Predictions

acmpromo1Tomorrow night’s Academy of Country Music awards are on everybody’s minds and lips. Reba will be hosting for the 11th time as the Academy hands out the awards on their 44th annual show.  Here then, is our contribution to the ACM Awards media frenzy.  These are the predictions of the My Kind of Country writing staff.

The 44th annual Academy of Country Music Awards airs Sunday, April 5 at 8:00 Eastern time on your local CBS station.

Entertainer of the Year

  • Kenny Chesney  J.R., Chris
  • Brad Paisley   Erik
  • George Strait
  • Carrie Underwood  Razor, Meg, Lisa
  • Keith Urban

Top Male Vocalist

  • Kenny Chesney
  • Toby Keith
  • Brad Paisley   Meg, Lisa, Erik
  • George Strait
  • Keith Urban  Rob, J.R., Chris

Top Female Vocalist

  • Miranda Lambert
  • Heidi Newfield
  • Taylor Swift   J.R.
  • Carrie Underwood   Razor, Meg, Lisa, Erik, Chris
  • Lee Ann Womack

Top Vocal Group

  • Lady Antebellum Lisa, Erik, Chris
  • Little Big Town
  • Rascal Flatts  Razor, Meg, J.R.
  • Randy Rogers Band
  • The Lost Trailers

Top Vocal Duo

  • Big & Rich
  • Brooks & Dunn
  • Joey + Rory
  • Montgomery Gentry
  • Sugarland  J.R., Razor, Lisa, Meg. Erik, Chris

Top New Artist

  • Julianne Hough  Erik, J.R., Chris, Meg
  • Jake Owen   Razor, Lisa
  • Zac Brown Band

Album of the Year

  • Back When I Knew It All – Montgomery Gentry (Columbia)
    Produced by: Blake Chancey
  • Carnival Ride – Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) J.R.
    Produced by:  Mark Bright
  • Fearless – Taylor Swift (Big Machine)  Erik, Meg, Chris
    Produced by: Scott Borchetta, Nathan Chapman, Taylor Swift
  • That Lonesome Song – Jamey Johnson (Mercury)   Lisa, Razor
    Produced by: The Kent Hardly Playboys
  • Troubadour – George Strait (MCA)
    Produced by: Tony Brown and George Strait

Single Record of the Year [Award to Artist(s)/Producer(s)/Record Company]

  • Gunpowder & Lead
  • Miranda Lambert, Produced by Frank Liddell and Mike Wrucke
    Columbia

  • In Color Meg, Lisa, J.R.
    Jamey Johnson, Produced by The Kent Hardly Playboys
    Mercury
  • Johnny And June
    Heidi Newfield, Produced by Tony Brown
    Asylum-Curb
  • Waitin’ On A Woman Erik
    Brad Paisley, Produced by Frank Rogers
    Arista Nashville
  • You’re Gonna Miss This Razor, Chris
    Trace Adkins, Produced by Frank Rogers
    Capitol Nashville

Song of the Year [Award to Composer(s)/Publisher(s)/Artist(s)]

  • I Saw God Today Razor, Erik, J.R.
    George Strait
    Composers:  Rodney Clawson, Monty Criswell, Wade Kirby
    Publishers:   Big Red Toe Music (BMI), Blind Mule Music (BMI), Extremely Loud Music (BMI), Steel Wheels Music (BMI)
  • In Color Meg, Lisa
    Jamey Johnson
    Composers:  Jamey Johnson, Lee Thomas Miller, James Otto
    Publishers: Big Gassed Hitties (BMI), Eldorotto Music Publishing (BMI), EMI Blackwood Music, Inc., Lucky Thumb Music (BMI), New Song of Sea Gayle (BMI), Noah’s Little Boat Music (BMI)
  • Johnny And June
    Heidi Newfield
    Composers:  Deanna Bryant, Heidi Newfield, Stephony Smith
    Publishers:  Amylase Music (ASCAP), Big Hit Makers Music (BMI), Rainy Graham Publishing LLC (BMI), Souljet Music (BMI), Tell Texas Tune III (ASCAP)
  • Waitin’ On A Woman Chris
    Brad Paisley
    Composers:  Don Sampson, Wynn Varble
    Publishers:  Emma and Maddie Music (ASCAP), Sea Gayle Music LLC (ASCAP), Warner-Tamerlane Publishing Corp. (BMI)
  • You’re Gonna Miss This
    Trace Adkins
    Composers:  Ashley Gorley and Lee Thomas Miller
    Publishers:  Music of Windswept (ASCAP),  Noah’s Little Boat Music (BMI), Song of Combustion (ASCAP), Songs of Sea Gayle (BMI)

Our choices are pretty spread out, with only Sugarland sweeping their category and getting all 6 votes.  Carrie Underwood comes close in the Female category with myself being the only one who thinks Taylor Swift may take the award.  I would have voted Carrie Underwood in the Entertainer race too, but even after Chesney spoke out against fan-voting last year, he was still victorious, so I think he’ll repeat that victory again this year.  Half of my colleagues think Carrie Underwood will win Entertainer due to the fan-voting in the category – and she certainly has a massive online fanbase.

I think the Album of the Year race is going to be the hardest to call.  Jamey Johnson got in just under the wire as the ACM changed their sales criteria, allowing him to be nominated.  But I think the nomination is all he’s going to get.  Carrie Underwood has been a favorite at this show since her first nomination for Top New Female Vocalist, and has taken home 5 trophies already.  So my vote is for her in the Album category since I think she’s going to get shut out of the Female Vocalist award.  But I could be wrong.  Looking at my track record for predicting awards show winners, you’d definitely think so.

ACMAI’m also anxiously awaiting the debut of a new single from host Reba McEntire. The new tune, ‘Stange’ will impact radio Monday. Immediately following Reba’s performance on the show, you can purchase the song from Reba’s Valory Records page. It will be posted for free streaming on cmt.com beginning at midnight (following the west coast broadcast of the show).

I’ll be participating in the ACM Live blog at Country Universe. So share your thoughts with us over there starting Sunday night at 8:00 Eastern time.  Or leave a comment here.

10 responses to “ACM Predictions

  1. Razor X April 5, 2009 at 2:27 am

    Chesney didn’t speak out about the fans voting for Entertainer of the Year until after he’d won it.

    Reba’s single will also be available on iTunes, starting on Monday.

  2. Leeann Ward April 5, 2009 at 7:06 am

    Yay, I’m glad you’ll be hangin’ with us tonight, J.R.. I hope the rest of you will as well. I think Reba hosting is what I’m most excited about for the show. She and Vince are born hosts for these things.

  3. Chris April 5, 2009 at 9:27 am

    I won’t be able to watch the show, but I’m taping it on DVR…

    Picking Taylor Swift for Best Female Vocalist is very risky JR…

    • J.R. Journey April 5, 2009 at 10:42 am

      What can I say? I like to live dangerously.

      • Occasional Hope April 5, 2009 at 11:43 am

        I guess it’s a win-win situation, though – if she wins, you can be pleased you guessed correctly, if she doesn’t, you can be relieved the ACM hasn’t lost *all* its critical faculties.

        • Chris April 5, 2009 at 6:31 pm

          Very good point!

          Honestly, Taylor Swift’s album was my favorite of the 5, even Jamey Johnson’s- I just can’t get into him.

          Although, why wasn’t Sugarland’s album nominated? Especially since Carnival Ride is 2 years old now…

  4. Meg April 6, 2009 at 6:48 pm

    I think I did pretty well on the picks — don’t know if that’s a good thing… None of us saw Trace Adkins coming. Didn’t look like he did either. Who was he pointing to after he gave his speech? Looked like he was pointing so another artist he felt should have won it.

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